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Mining analyst Keyvan Jafari Tehrani says shortages of explosives and diesel have prevented many Iranian mines from meeting their production goals. He called for a fundamental solution to the explosives shortage, including preparations for imports.
He said the sector has fallen well behind the path needed to deliver the 13% growth target in the Seventh Development Plan. In his assessment, even an early end to the war and sanctions would not make that target achievable under current conditions.
Jafari Tehrani urged policymakers to reassess the plan and consider more practical growth targets in the range of 8% to 10%.